MLB Picks August 1-4 and MLB Trade Deadline

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Jeffrey “Coach” Belanger is joined by his brother Dan in podcast 71, the Larry Allen episode. The guys discuss the MLB trade Deadline news, PGA championship, Big 12 poaching teams for their league and NFL news . Coach then gives his MLB picks to start August. You can contact Coach with any sports or gambling related comments and questions at jeffreybelanger8@gmail.com or on twitter @coachbelanger. www.jeffreybelanger.com

Some other favorite sites I like to visit www.badbeatbetting.wordpress.comwww.cappedin.comwww.vegasinsider.com

 

MLB Picks
Monday Aug 1st
Royals over Rays Danny Duffy was 3-0 in July  with a 3.18 ERA. His strikeout to walk ration was 31 K’s to just 6 BB. He did give up 12 runs in 5 starts but the Royals won all 5 of his starts.  The last 3 years Duffy has made his most starts in August (15) in the past 3 years and he is 8-2  with a 2.63 ERA and a .224 batting average against. Duffy got his first win of the year back on June 1st versus the Rays when he went 6 innings strong allowing 3 runs on 7 hits. This was his 4th start when he was still building up his arm strength and innings and he was very efficient with 75 pitches in those 6 innings striking out 6 with no walks. Chris Archer was the victim in Duffy’s first win of the year when he gave up 5 runs on 8 hits and 2 walks in 6 innings. Archer has some very strange home split stats. He has a 2.95 ERA, 79 K’s, 24 BB’s and teams just bat .213 against him in the Trop. His record though is a dismal 1-7. The last 3 years the Royals have hit Archer pretty hard in 13 innings accumulating 18 hits and 9 runs. Take the Royals who might be trying to make a last stand as a champion to make a run for the playoff’s
Cubs over Marlins The Cubs and their pitching has regressed over the past 4 weeks. The lone pitcher not regressing has been Kyle Hendricks who finished July with a 1.07 ERA as he gave up 4 runs in the month (3 earned). The last time he faced the Marlins he allowed 1 hit but gave up 4 runs in the first on a Grand Slam by Justin Bour. This blew a 4-0 lead he was staked in the first inning by his mates. Tom Koehler for the past 2 months has beaten all the bad teams but lost to the good ones. (wins = Phillies x2, Reds, Rockies, Padres, Twinkies – losses = Cardinals, Mets x2, Tigers, Cubs) This is actually a good thing because the first 2 months of the season he lost to everyone mostly. The Cubs are still a good team, especially with Hendricks on the mound.
Tuesday August 2nd
Brewers over Padres If it wasn’t for the month of April and a hiccup against the Dodgers at the end of June the Brewers Zach Davies would be in the conversation as one of the best pitchers in baseball. He gets a gutted Padres team that has actually been pretty good on offense. Davies did shut down San Diego on May 15th in a game the Brewers won 3-2 even though he recieved a no decision. Luis Perdomo has actually been pretty good since joining the starting rotation. This is a good thing because the Padres have traded most of their starting staff and because Perdomo stunk badly as a reliever. Perdomo made his first start of the year back on May 14th, a spot start against the Brewers and it took him 60 pitches to get through 2 innings and allowed 2 runs in the process. Ride Davies hot hand in this one.
Nationals over D-Backs Tanner Roark has been steady all year long. In the past 3 years against the D-Backs he has been downright magnificent in 5 appearances (2 starts). He has thrown 18 and 1/3 innings allowing only 1 unearned run and the D-Backs have batted only .185 in that time. The Nats get Robbie Ray who has been consistent all season long with his ERA ranging each month between 4.29 and 4.93. He has never faced the Nationals but he is familiar with the Nats as he was drafted by them back in 2010 and then was moved to the Tigers in the Doug Fister deal. Even though the Nats haven’t faced him the second time through the line up teams bat .275 against Ray and if he makes it to their 3rd at bat players bat over .300. Take the Nats.
Wednesday August 3rd
Brewers over Padres Junior Guerra almost pulled off the complete game shut out in his last start. He got a little unlucky when a ball hit an umpire and went into the outfield for a hit that would have been a final out for the second baseman. This allowed a run and the Brewers brought in their closer Jeremy Jeffress that needed all of one pitch to get the final out. What a story for this kid released in 2008 and he played independent ball, Mexican League and in the Venezuelan league until hooking up with the White Sox last year.  Edwin Jackson is another pitcher that has been around the block, 11  major league  teams in the past 14 years. The way he is pitching he might be  in the Mexican League soon. Take Junior and the Brewers.
Thursday August 4th
A’s/Angels over runs (stay away Lincecum and Overton have been replaced by Nolasco and Hahn) The last time I picked a Tim Lincecum game to go over I got burned by the Red Sox who left a ton of men on base and hit a bunch of atom balls that found gloves. Tim Lincecum and  Dillon Overton  have both struggled and we should see a bunch of runs scored early in this game.

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