MLB Picks July 18-21

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Jeffrey “Coach” Belanger and his brother Joel “the Joker” in podcast #67 the Bob Kuechenberg episode, discuss the latest Red Sox trade, Demolition Man the movie, Tom Brady’s suspension, HBO show Ballers, Jeff’s cheap Dad version of Pokémon Go, Bad Beats from the weekend and MLB Picks for July 18th-21st. You can contact Coach with any sports or gambling related comments and questions at jeffreybelanger8@gmail.com or on twitter @coachbelanger. www.jeffreybelanger.com

Some other favorite sites I like to visit www.badbeatbetting.wordpress.comwww.cappedin.comwww.vegasinsider.com

MLB Picks W L Win Pct.
4/4-4/10 4 4 0.500
4/11-4/17 14 3 0.824
4/18-4/24 14 11 0.560
4/25-5/1 13 8 0.619
5/2-5/8 14 9 0.609
5/9-5/15 19 16 0.543
5/16-5/21 7 3 0.700
5/22-5/29 10 6 0.625
5/30-6/5 7 8 0.467
6/6-6/12 8 3 0.727
6/13-6/19 19 11 0.633
6/20-6/26 7 8 0.467
6/27-7/3 11 12 0.478
7/4-7/10 18 8 0.692
7/14-7/17 3 4 0.429
7/18-7/24
168 114 0.596
MLB Picks
Monday July 18th
Royals over Indians Corey Kluber hasn’t pitched in 10 days. He gave up 8 runs (5 earned) versus the Royals on June 15th after shutting them out on June 5th in 6 innings of work while allowing 2 hits. He is 6-6 the past 3 season versus Kansas City. In over 100 innings the Royals are only hitting .218 but have scored 11 unearned runs in that time. His record however at Kaufman is 1-4 in that time. This season the 8 run game was in KC the shut out was at home and this game is in KC. That 10 days in between starts not good for Kluber. He has had 12 starts with 6 or more days of rest and he is 4-6 in those start with an era of 4.16 on 4 days rest era of 3.35, 5 days rest era of 3.28. Edison Volquez the enigma. He beat Cleveland 2-1 on June 13th with 7 innings of 2 hit shutout ball. He lost on June 3rd 6-1 giving up 5 runs in 6 1/3 innings. The 7 shut out innings at home, the 5 run implosion on the road and this game home. His career vs. Indians he has been better at home than at Progressive Field where he has a 8.51 ERA.
Angels over Rangers AJ Griffin of the Rangers looked great to start the year and then landed on the DL in early May. He came back in June and looked pretty darn good in his first 3 starts but his last start before the All-Star Break was not so good. He gave up 6 runs in 5 innings versus the Twinkies offense. He gave up 17 flyballs to 3 groundballs in that start. This is a trend with Griffin since his return for the DL allowing 41 flyballs and only 13 ground balls. The Angels are a bad team but if you are getting the ball up in the zone they have an offense that is very capable of capitalizing.  Nick Tropeano has also spent some time on the DL and returned prior to the All-Star break to make 2 starts. He however has looked good in those starts and even went 6 strong at Camden Yards versus a hot Orioles team allowing only 1 run to keep his team in the game. (They eventually lost 3-2). Even if Griffin provides a quality start to match Tropeano in this one the Rangers bullpen will give the Angels another opportunity to win.
Tuesday July 19th
Red Sox over Giants Rick Porcello one of the Red Sox “Killer P’s. He has been great at home and I am going to ride that trend. The Giants are one of the best teams in baseball but they send Jake Peavy to the mound. The good news is he has gotten better each month this season. (April 8.61 era, May 4.73, June 3.62, July 2.45) The bad news is he has only beaten one good team all year (Dodgers 2-1 on June 12th). The Red Sox are a good team, possibly one of the best in baseball.
Cardinals over Padres (game postponed to Wednesday) Carlos Martinez finally got a win before the break. The poor guy lost 4 straight prior to that even though he pitched great. He does however pitch much better on the road than at the home. (3.75 ERA at home 1.71 on the road) Colin Rea of the Padres not so good. Take the Cards.
Blue Jays over D-Backs (pitching change I still like the Blue Jays) Marco Estrada is one of the best pitchers in the AL is supposed to return from DL against the D-Backs. Estrada is a quality start machine and faces Zach Godley. He has a 7-1 career record in 15 career games. The Blue Jays line up is tough for anyone never mind a rookie with only 15 career games. Aaron Sanchez gets the start for the Blue Jays. He is just as good possibly better than Marco Estrada. Stick with the Blue Jays in this game.
Wednesday July 20th
Royals over Indians Ian Kennedy is at home where he shines 2.11 ERA and a .200 batting average against. He makes his 4th start against the Indians. In the previous 3 he was 2-1 and even won on the road. He faces Carlos Carrasco and his low WHIP 1.09 this year but the one team that has hit him is the Kansas City Royals. KC has 19 hits in 11 innings versus Carrasco batting almost .400 (.396 in 2 starts). Take the Royals.
Astros over A’s Doug Fister was born on the same day as the Joker Feb. 4th just one year later in 1984. He is 2-1 versus the A’s in 2016 and the only loss was July 7th when he gave up 2 runs, 3 hits in 8 innings of work. Daniel Mengden first 4 starts good but last 3 starts bad, very bad. One of those bad starts were versus the Astros which he gave up 6 runs in 4+ innings of work.
Thursday July 21st
Orioles over Yankees Chris Tillman sputtered in June but the Orioles still won all but one of his starts. He has beaten the Yankees twice in 2016. One start was a dominant performance the other he struggled giving up 5 runs but won. He is 6-3 versus the Yanks the past 3 years. CC Sabathia has not given up a run to the Orioles yet this year. He has not been that fortunate against the O’s prior to this season going 2-3 with a 4.59 ERA giving up 57 hits in 51 innings. Take the O’s over the struggling Sabathia that has allowed 21 runs in his past 5 starts.
Red Sox over Twins Steven Wright is a Cy Young candidate and has beaten the Twinkies already this year allowing 1 run in 7+ innings. Tyler Duffey gave up 6 runs against the Sox earlier this year. Take the Red Sox over the Twinkies.

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