MLB Picks July 25-28th, sports lightning round

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Jeffrey “Coach” Belanger is joined by “Bracket Brother” Dan in podcast #69 the Adam Sandler/Billy Madison episode. Coach and Dan do a sports question lightning round, the MLB picks for July 25th-28th and discuss the Focker gambling system. You can contact Coach with any sports or gambling related comments and questions at or on twitter @coachbelanger.

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MLB Picks W L Win Pct.
4/4-4/10 4 4 0.500
4/11-4/17 14 3 0.824
4/18-4/24 14 11 0.560
4/25-5/1 13 8 0.619
5/2-5/8 14 9 0.609
5/9-5/15 19 16 0.543
5/16-5/21 7 3 0.700
5/22-5/29 10 6 0.625
5/30-6/5 7 8 0.467
6/6-6/12 8 3 0.727
6/13-6/19 19 11 0.633
6/20-6/26 7 8 0.467
6/27-7/3 11 12 0.478
7/4-7/10 18 8 0.692
7/14-7/17 3 4 0.429
7/18-7/24 13 5 0.722
181 119 0.603
MLB Picks
Monday July 25th
Blue Jays over Padres Aaron Sanchez is one of the top pitchers in the American League and has been a model of consistency from day one in 2016. In 19 starts he has allowed 2 or less runs in 15 of those games. Colin Rea after a nice start to the season has given up 4 or more runs in 5 of his 8 starts since June 2nd. Take the Jays and the quality start from Sanchez and hopefully enough offense.
Cardinals over Mets (Game was rained out and will be played as 1st game of double dip Tuesday, stick with the game but the money line dropped from +150 Monday to almost even money Tuesday) The 24 year old pitcher of the Cardinals Carlos Martinez has really put it together over the past couple months. The Mets have been struggling on offense, Citi Field is a pitchers park and Martinez is great on the road. In 7 road starts Martinez is 5-1 (one non decision in Seattle when he had a 3-1 lead and bullpen gave up walk off 3 run homer) 1.71 ERA and a .190 batting average against. Noah Syndergaard had a little rough patch at the end of June but he is battling through some bone spur issues and still been fairly effective. This will be a low scoring game but the Cards and Martinez will come out on top.
Tuesday July 26th
Orioles over Rockies Chris Tillman is an Ace and it’s shocking he didn’t make the All-Star team with his now 14-2 record (12-2 prior to All-star game) He has given up 4 runs in July, one each start. Chad Bettis is a young pitcher that has looked better in July 3.46 ERA and .237 batting average against. He was not that good in May and June when he gave up 51 runs in 48 innings and teams batted about .350 against him. The Orioles offense should be able to score more than 2 runs in this one and get the win for one run allowed per game Chris Tillman.
Twins over Braves Ervin Santana  has dropped his ERA from 5.10 on June 14th all the way to 3.93. Only the Indians have scored more than 2 runs against him since June 14th and they only managed 3 runs. Hopefully he is still on the Twins for this start. Lucas Harrell has made 4 starts for Braves. The first 2 were great against good teams the Marlins and Cubs. The last 2 were against bad teams the Rockies and Reds and he was shelled. The Twins are also a bad team. Let the Shelling continue.
Astros over Yankees Astros are a hot team. Doug Fister is back on track after his consecutive start streak with the Astros winning was snapped. The Yankee offense is very weak and  CC Sabathia will need some run support to win this one.
Wednesday July 27th
Cardinals over Mets Adam Wainwright in his last 3 starts looks like he is starting to regain the feel and touch of the pitcher he was prior to arm surgery. The Mets Logan Verrett has made 6 starts for the Mets and they finally won one last week against the Marlins. The Mets anemic offense will have trouble against the reborn Adam Wainwright.
Brewers over D-Backs Jimmy Nelson  has been a pretty darn good pitcher at home (2.54 ERA compered to 4.69 on the road) Archie Bradley has pitched well in his last 3 starts allowing 3 runs vs. the Reds, 1 against the Dodgers and 2 against the Giants. He did however lose 2 of those 3 starts. Take the Brewers who play well versus the bad teams to win this one.
Braves over Twins Mike Foltynewicz has given up 3 or less runs in 8 of his last 10 starts. The thing you worry about is the bad Braves offense struggles to score 2 runs never mind getting 4 or more runs.  Mike Foltynewicz is pitching at home where he has a 2.83 ERA and a .182 batting average against so maybe 2 runs will be enough against the Twins and Tyler Duffey. The Braves might manage more than 2 runs in this one as Duffey has allowed 4 or more in 12 of his 14 starts since May.
Yankees over Astros Masahiro Tanaka has been the savior for the Yankees this season. His latest gem last week he outdueled Madison Bumgarner. He now gets the hot Astros and  Lance McCullers who took a shut out into the ninth in his last start. It is really tough for me to pick against the Astros right now but the way Tanaka has been pitching you take the Yanks who will most likely be a small dog in this one.
Thursday July 28th
Mets over Rockies Jacob deGrom  possibly the last fully healthy pitcher for the Mets threw his first complete game when he shut out the Phillies on July 17th. He will pitch well enough to give even that bad Mets offense a chance to win. Tyler Anderson goes for the Rocks and he has been good with a 3.43 ERA but deGrom might be too much for that Rockies offense to overcome. We do like the rookie for the Rockies who is from Vegas and graduated from Valley High School.
Brewers over D-Backs I have been a fan of Zach Davies the last month. He pitched well in his last start against the Cubs allowing 3 hits and 1 run in 6 and 1/3 innings work. Robbie Ray pitched well in his last outing but the 4 previous starts he was very underwhelming in 4 D-Back losses.
Braves over Phillies (Matt Wisler gets the start instead of Julio Teheran. I am still taking the Braves) The Braves would be nuts to trade Julio Teheran. He has been outstanding most of the year, he is young and they are need to build their staff around someone going into their new stadium, They are asking for a kings ransom with good reason he is a stud and they need to get back at least 2 quality major league hitters and a pitching prospect if they give this guy up. He also is 6-2 against the Phillies the past 3 years with a 2.03 ERA and a .210 batting average against. Matt Wisler gets the start instead of Julio Teheran in the series opener. Wisler has been up and down this year but in 2 starts versus the Phillies he has given up 4 runs in 14 and 2/3 innings. The Phillies have batted a paltry .232 against Wisler in those 2 games.  Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies and he has given up 5 or more runs in 5 of his last 6 starts.

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